About this Mainstreet Research federal poll
This federal poll was fielded by Mainstreet Research in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 2, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,080 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).
The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.
This poll was conducted entirely in Ontario.
If we compare these Ontario numbers with the previous poll from Mainstreet Research (April 2024), the Liberal Party climbs 14 points from 29% to 43%, the Conservative Party loses eight points from 47% to 39%, and the New Democratic Party loses five points from 14% to 9%.
You can read more information on this poll here.
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.
P#652