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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in December 2024, with a middle field date of December 8, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (September 2024), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party loses five points from 26% to 21%, and the New Democratic Party climbs five points from 16% to 21%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼1 CPC 21% ▼5 LPC 21% ▲5 NDP 7% BQ 3% ▲2 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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219 CPC 48 LPC 41 BQ 34 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 7 3 QC 41 21 14 2 ON 90 18 13 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 35 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll December 8, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 44% ▼1 CPC 33% LPC 16% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Quebec 32% ▼2 BQ 25% ▲2 CPC 24% ▼1 LPC 11% NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼1 CPC 25% ▲5 NDP 22% ▼8 LPC 5% ▲4 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▼2 CPC 21% ▼9 LPC 21% ▲11 NDP 7% ▲4 PPC 1% ▼5 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Alberta 66% CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 14% ▼2 LPC 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 48% ▼6 CPC 33% ▲16 NDP 15% ▼8 LPC 1% ▼3 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% CPC 26% ▲5 NDP 20% ▼4 LPC 7% ▼2 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% ▼2 CPC 22% ▼7 LPC 16% ▲5 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲3 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲3 CPC 33% ▲9 NDP 14% ▼10 LPC 4% ▼2 GPC 3% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 44% ▼2 CPC 21% ▲5 NDP 20% ▼4 LPC 6% ▼4 BQ 5% ▲4 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 43% ▼4 CPC 26% ▼4 LPC 14% ▲3 NDP 10% ▲3 BQ 3% ▲3 PPC 1% ▼3 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-12-08 338Canada.com
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