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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in September 2024, with a middle field date of September 8, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (June 2024), the Conservative Party climbs three points from 42% to 45% (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 24% to 26% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 18% to 16% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲3 CPC 26% ▲2 LPC 16% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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216 CPC 76 LPC 41 BQ 9 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 7 3 QC 41 24 12 1 ON 84 33 4 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 39 2 2 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll September 8, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 45% ▼3 CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 16% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Quebec 34% BQ 25% ▲1 LPC 23% ▼2 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▲1 CPC 30% ▲2 LPC 20% ▲3 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼5 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% ▲7 CPC 30% ▲9 LPC 10% ▼19 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Alberta 66% ▲3 CPC 16% ▲4 LPC 14% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼6 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 54% ▲15 CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 17% ▼15 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% ▲3 CPC 24% ▼2 LPC 21% ▲2 NDP 9% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▲2 CPC 29% ▲6 LPC 11% ▼5 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼5 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▲5 CPC 24% ▲4 LPC 24% ▲2 NDP 6% GPC 4% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼5 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 46% ▲4 CPC 24% ▲2 LPC 16% ▼4 NDP 10% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 47% CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 11% ▼3 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2024-09-08 338Canada.com
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