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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in September 2024, with a middle field date of September 21, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,556 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (September 2024), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 15% to 17% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▼1 CPC 24% ▼1 LPC 17% ▲2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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216 CPC 72 LPC 38 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 7 3 QC 38 25 13 2 ON 80 35 6 1 MB 11 2 1 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 37 3 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll September 21, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% ▼1 CPC 30% ▲2 LPC 15% ▼3 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 32% ▼2 BQ 26% ▲1 LPC 22% ▼3 CPC 14% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▼8 CPC 28% ▲3 LPC 18% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 61% ▲6 CPC 22% ▲6 NDP 11% ▼10 LPC 2% ▼3 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 68% ▲4 CPC 17% ▲5 NDP 11% ▼9 LPC 3% ▲2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 51% ▲8 CPC 21% ▼9 LPC 19% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▼2 CPC 25% ▼2 LPC 22% ▲4 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▼1 CPC 22% ▼1 LPC 13% NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% ▲5 CPC 23% ▼3 NDP 14% ▼6 LPC 8% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 45% ▼4 CPC 21% ▼3 LPC 19% ▲5 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 41% ▼4 CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 12% ▲2 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% Disapprove 28% Approve 8% Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2024-09-21 338Canada.com
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Léger Government approval tracker 28% 64%2024-09-21 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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