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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in September 2024, with a middle field date of September 7, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,521 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (August 2024), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 43% to 45% (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 25%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 15%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲2 CPC 25% LPC 15% NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 4% ▼3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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225 CPC 61 LPC 38 BQ 17 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 9 1 1 NB 8 2 QC 38 25 14 1 ON 101 16 4 1 MB 7 4 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 27 10 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll September 7, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▼7 CPC 28% ▲9 LPC 18% ▲10 NDP 4% ▼5 PPC 3% ▼7 GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Quebec 34% ▲5 BQ 25% ▼2 LPC 25% ▲2 CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▲8 CPC 25% ▼5 LPC 17% ▲3 NDP 6% ▼3 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% ▲1 CPC 21% ▲1 LPC 16% ▼6 NDP 5% ▲4 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Alberta 64% ▲6 CPC 20% ▲7 LPC 12% ▼9 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼3 GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼12 CPC 30% ▲9 LPC 20% ▲6 NDP 5% ▼3 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% CPC 27% LPC 18% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼3 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Male voters 50% ▲3 CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 13% NDP 4% ▼3 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲2 CPC 26% ▲5 NDP 20% ▼1 LPC 6% ▼4 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 49% ▲6 CPC 24% ▲3 LPC 14% ▼5 NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 45% CPC 29% ▼1 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-09-07 338Canada.com
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