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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in October 2026, with a middle field date of October 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,525 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (September 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 33%, and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 6% to 8% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 48% ▼1 LPC 33% CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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238 LPC 81 CPC 16 BQ 7 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 53 16 8 1 ON 94 28 MB 6 6 2 SK 13 1 AB 19 16 2 BC 35 5 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll October 11, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▼4 LPC 32% ▼3 CPC 7% ▲3 NDP 6% ▲4 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Quebec 47% LPC 26% ▼3 BQ 17% ▲1 CPC 7% ▲2 NDP 2% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲4 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼1 CPC 30% ▼8 LPC 14% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Alberta 43% ▲19 LPC 43% ▼21 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 50% ▼9 LPC 32% ▲4 CPC 13% ▲5 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▼2 LPC 33% ▲2 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲3 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 41% LPC 39% ▲2 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 58% ▼2 LPC 27% ▼2 CPC 5% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Government approval 58% Approve 35% ▲1 Disapprove 7% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Léger Government approval tracker 58% 35%2026-10-11 58% 34%2026-09-06 55% 38%2026-08-02 57% 35%2026-06-21 56% 34%2026-05-31 59% 33%2026-04-25 58% 33%2026-03-29 61% 31%2026-03-01 59% 34%2026-01-25 51% 38%2025-11-29 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Government satisfaction 57% Satisfied 35% ▼1 Dissatisfied 8% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2026-10-11 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 57% 35%2026-10-11 57% 36%2026-09-06 54% 38%2026-08-02 57% 36%2026-06-21 54% 37%2026-05-31 57% 35%2026-04-25 57% 34%2026-03-29 59% 33%2026-03-01 58% 35%2026-01-25 49% 40%2025-11-29 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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