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About this Nanos Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Nanos Research from September 11, 2026 to October 2, 2026 (four-week rolling poll). The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,020 Canadian respondents via live telephone interviews.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

The regional breakdown of this poll was not made publicly available.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Nanos Research (September 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 28%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 49% ▼1 LPC 28% CPC 11% NDP 6% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-10-02 338Canada.com
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279 LPC 46 CPC 10 BQ 7 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 64 10 4 ON 119 3 MB 7 5 2 SK 8 5 1 AB 20 15 2 BC 35 5 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Nanos Research federal poll October 2, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Nanos Research




Preferred PM 59% ▼3 Carney 20% Poilievre 10% Don't know 4% ▲1 Lewis 3% May 2% Blanchet 2% Bernier Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-10-02 338Canada.com
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Nanos Research Preferred PM tracker 59% 20%2026-10-02 62% 20%2026-09-25 59% 21%2026-09-18 56% 21%2026-09-11 55% 21%2026-09-04 51% 21%2026-08-28 50% 20%2026-08-21 53% 18%2026-08-14 54% 18%2026-08-07 56% 18%2026-07-31 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre
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