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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in September 2026, with a middle field date of September 27, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (September 2026), the Liberal Party remains stable at 46%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 15%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% LPC 28% ▼1 CPC 15% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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248 LPC 60 CPC 17 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 54 17 6 1 ON 104 14 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 8 6 AB 21 14 2 BC 30 7 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll September 27, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▼2 LPC 20% ▼1 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Quebec 45% ▼1 LPC 25% ▼1 BQ 14% ▼1 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Ontario 50% ▲1 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 14% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 41% ▲3 LPC 37% ▼3 CPC 14% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Alberta 46% ▼3 CPC 35% ▲4 LPC 12% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▼1 LPC 27% ▼1 CPC 23% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 52% ▲1 LPC 23% ▼1 CPC 16% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▲1 LPC 25% ▼1 CPC 24% ▼1 NDP 9% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 46% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 46% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼1 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 4% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 59% ▲1 LPC 24% ▼1 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Government approval 66% ▲2 Approve 27% ▼2 Disapprove 7% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 66% 27%2026-09-27 64% 29%2026-09-20 65% 28%2026-09-13 66% 27%2026-09-06 66% 26%2026-08-30 64% 27%2026-08-23 59% 31%2026-08-16 60% 31%2026-08-09 57% 33%2026-08-01 57% 34%2026-07-26 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 53% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 34% ▼2 Positive / favourable 13% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 34% 53%2026-09-27 36% 51%2026-09-20 35% 51%2026-09-13 36% 51%2026-09-06 34% 54%2026-08-30 33% 55%2026-08-23 34% 54%2026-08-16 35% 53%2026-08-09 34% 53%2026-08-01 34% 52%2026-07-26 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 39% Neutral / Unsure 33% ▲2 Positive / favourable 28% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-27 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 33% 28%2026-09-27 31% 30%2026-09-20 32% 30%2026-09-13 31% 30%2026-09-06 30% 31%2026-08-30 30% 31%2026-08-23 31% 30%2026-08-16 31% 29%2026-08-09 30% 30%2026-08-01 30% 29%2026-07-26 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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