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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in June 2026, with a middle field date of June 21, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,528 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (May 2026), the Liberal Party loses two points from 50% to 48% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 34%, and the Bloc Québécois remains stable at 6%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 48% ▼2 LPC 34% CPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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240 LPC 77 CPC 21 BQ 3 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 45 21 11 1 ON 107 14 1 MB 9 4 1 SK 8 6 AB 29 7 1 BC 36 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll June 21, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▼7 LPC 37% ▲8 CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 1% ▼3 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% ▼8 LPC 26% BQ 22% ▲5 CPC 4% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 53% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼4 CPC 7% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▲15 LPC 32% ▼19 CPC 10% ▼6 NDP 7% ▲6 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 57% ▼3 CPC 38% ▲2 LPC 5% ▲1 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 51% ▼5 LPC 32% ▲4 CPC 10% ▼1 GPC 7% ▲1 NDP Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▼3 LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 6% NDP 4% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% ▼1 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 6% NDP 4% ▲2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% ▲1 LPC 30% ▼5 CPC 12% ▲3 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 41% ▼1 CPC 38% ▼1 LPC 7% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲3 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 57% ▼2 LPC 30% ▲2 CPC 3% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Government approval 57% ▲1 Approve 35% ▲1 Disapprove 8% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Léger Government approval tracker 57% 35%2026-06-21 56% 34%2026-05-31 59% 33%2026-04-25 58% 33%2026-03-29 61% 31%2026-03-01 59% 34%2026-01-25 51% 38%2025-11-29 52% 39%2025-11-01 47% 41%2025-10-04 53% 37%2025-09-06 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Government satisfaction 57% ▲3 Satisfied 36% ▼1 Dissatisfied 7% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2026-06-21 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 57% 36%2026-06-21 54% 37%2026-05-31 57% 35%2026-04-25 57% 34%2026-03-29 59% 33%2026-03-01 58% 35%2026-01-25 49% 40%2025-11-29 50% 41%2025-11-01 46% 42%2025-10-04 51% 38%2025-09-06 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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