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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 15, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▲1 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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239 LPC 69 CPC 26 BQ 7 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 43 26 8 1 ON 101 18 2 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 36 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 15, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼3 LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 12% ▲4 NDP Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 29% ▲1 BQ 17% ▼1 CPC 5% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 42% ▲2 CPC 39% ▲3 LPC 12% ▲2 NDP 5% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Alberta 47% ▲6 CPC 39% ▼1 LPC 6% ▼3 PPC 5% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 50% ▲3 LPC 34% CPC 10% NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% LPC 31% CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% LPC 32% CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% LPC 39% CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 46% LPC 31% CPC 10% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 53% LPC 28% CPC 10% NDP 6% BQ 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 45% LPC 28% CPC 10% NDP 8% BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Government approval 64% ▲1 Approve 32% ▼1 Disapprove 4% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 64% 32%2026-03-15 63% 33%2026-03-08 64% 31%2026-03-01 61% 33%2026-02-22 63% 32%2026-02-15 63% 32%2026-02-08 62% 33%2026-02-01 64% 33%2026-01-25 62% 33%2026-01-18 57% 36%2026-01-11 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 53% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 38% Positive / favourable 9% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-03-15 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 38% 53%2026-03-15 38% 52%2026-03-08 36% 54%2026-03-01 35% 55%2026-02-22 37% 54%2026-02-15 39% 52%2026-02-08 39% 53%2026-02-01 37% 56%2026-01-25 37% 57%2026-01-18 38% 54%2025-09-20 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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