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About this Spark Advocacy federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Spark Advocacy in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 4, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=3,055 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Spark Advocacy (May 2025), the Liberal Party climbs five points from 41% to 46%, the Conservative Party loses eight points from 39% to 31%, and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 8% to 10%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▲5 LPC 31% ▼8 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼2 BQ Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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246 LPC 80 CPC 9 BQ 8 NDP 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 10 1 NB 6 4 QC 62 9 6 1 ON 89 31 2 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 39 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Spark Advocacy federal poll March 4, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Spark Advocacy




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 46% ▼12 LPC 33% CPC 8% ▲1 NDP Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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Quebec 47% ▲9 LPC 20% ▼1 CPC 20% ▼11 BQ 5% ▲2 NDP Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲2 LPC 35% ▼8 CPC 10% ▲3 NDP Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 38% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼11 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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Alberta 41% ▼21 CPC 38% ▲10 LPC 15% ▲8 NDP Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 51% ▲12 LPC 30% ▼10 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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Government approval 66% Approve 34% Disapprove Spark Advocacy federal poll | 2026-03-04 338Canada.com
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Spark Advocacy Government approval tracker 66% 34%2026-03-04 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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