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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 24, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (April 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 38%, and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 12% to 9%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▲1 LPC 38% CPC 9% ▼3 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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192 LPC 117 CPC 23 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 42 23 12 1 ON 82 36 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 25 11 1 BC 24 17 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll April 24, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▼5 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% LPC 25% BQ 24% ▲2 CPC 6% ▼3 NDP 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲3 LPC 39% ▲3 CPC 10% ▼3 NDP 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% ▲1 CPC 32% ▲3 LPC 15% ▼7 NDP 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Alberta 58% ▲2 CPC 31% LPC 7% ▼4 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▼1 LPC 39% ▼5 CPC 13% ▲3 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▲1 LPC 35% ▲2 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▼1 CPC 40% LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▼3 CPC 38% ▼3 LPC 15% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲1 BQ 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 43% ▲4 CPC 38% ▲2 LPC 8% ▼4 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 48% ▲2 LPC 34% CPC 8% ▲2 BQ 7% ▼4 NDP 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Government approval 50% Disapprove 48% ▼2 Approve 2% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-24 338Canada.com
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Ipsos Government approval tracker 48% 50%2025-04-24 50% 50%2025-04-18 52% 48%2025-04-09 48% 50%2025-03-25 43% 57%2023-09-17 42% 58%2022-09-20 46% 52%2021-09-17 45% 54%2021-09-05 46% 54%2021-08-29 45% 55%2021-08-22 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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