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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 25, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,587 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (April 2025), the Liberal Party climbs three points from 38% to 41%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▲3 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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184 LPC 125 CPC 21 BQ 11 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 42 21 14 1 ON 76 42 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 12 2 AB 32 3 2 BC 29 12 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll April 25, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▲6 LPC 33% ▼19 CPC 17% ▲13 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▲1 LPC 25% ▲4 CPC 24% ▼6 BQ 6% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▲7 LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼7 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▲11 CPC 38% ▼11 LPC 16% ▲4 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 57% CPC 25% ▼3 LPC 15% ▲5 NDP Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▲6 LPC 34% ▼6 CPC 16% ▲6 NDP 4% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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