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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 21, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,306 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party loses two points from 45% to 43% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 9%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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196 LPC 115 CPC 21 BQ 8 NDP 3 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 41 21 15 1 ON 82 36 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 25 11 1 BC 29 12 2 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll April 21, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▼7 LPC 39% ▲6 CPC 5% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼5 LPC 29% ▲7 CPC 24% ▼1 BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▼1 LPC 36% ▼4 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% CPC 28% ▼6 LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 58% ▲5 CPC 32% LPC 7% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲3 CPC 11% ▼7 NDP 6% ▲5 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% ▼4 LPC 32% ▲3 CPC 9% ▼2 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▼1 CPC 38% LPC 8% ▲2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲3 CPC 35% ▼2 LPC 10% ▼6 NDP 4% ▲3 GPC 3% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% CPC 39% LPC 8% ▲1 BQ 8% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 47% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 6% ▼1 BQ 4% NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 50% ▼10 LPC 29% ▲1 CPC 13% ▲8 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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