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About this MQO Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by MQO Research in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 25, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,236 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from MQO Research (April 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 36% to 38% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 10%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 10% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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201 LPC 112 CPC 15 BQ 13 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 49 15 13 1 ON 80 38 3 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 26 10 1 BC 20 15 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on MQO Research federal poll April 25, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from MQO Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▲8 LPC 34% ▼3 CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▼4 LPC 23% ▲1 CPC 22% ▲2 BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% LPC 40% ▲3 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▲2 CPC 39% ▲8 LPC 12% ▼4 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 58% ▲3 CPC 30% ▼1 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 37% ▼7 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 21% ▲6 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▲2 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 11% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▼4 LPC 40% ▲2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-25 338Canada.com
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