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About this MQO Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by MQO Research in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,383 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from MQO Research (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 44%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 12% to 10% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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214 LPC 110 CPC 10 NDP 7 BQ 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 59 11 7 1 ON 81 37 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 24 11 2 BC 29 12 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on MQO Research federal poll April 18, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from MQO Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% LPC 37% CPC 6% ▼5 NDP 5% ▲4 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Quebec 48% ▼2 LPC 22% ▼1 CPC 20% ▲2 BQ 5% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼2 LPC 37% ▲4 CPC 10% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 2% ▼2 GPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% ▲2 CPC 31% ▼5 LPC 16% NDP 4% GPC 4% ▲2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▲3 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 9% ▼5 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲11 LPC 35% ▼8 CPC 15% ▼2 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▼2 LPC 34% ▲3 CPC 11% ▼4 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲1 LPC 38% CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 4% BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC MQO Research federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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