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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 18, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,001 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (April 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 36% to 38% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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182 LPC 123 CPC 24 BQ 13 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 40 24 12 2 ON 78 39 4 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 24 11 2 BC 22 20 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll April 18, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 56% ▲2 LPC 38% ▲5 CPC 5% ▼6 NDP Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▲5 LPC 25% BQ 22% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▼3 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% CPC 29% ▼8 LPC 22% ▲11 NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▲5 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 11% ▼5 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲6 CPC 43% ▼3 LPC 10% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▼1 LPC 33% ▲2 CPC 13% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲1 CPC 40% ▼1 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 1% GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▲2 CPC 41% ▲8 LPC 12% ▼8 NDP 2% ▲1 BQ 2% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 39% ▲3 CPC 36% ▼4 LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 46% ▼5 LPC 34% CPC 11% ▲6 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 1% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Government approval 50% ▲2 Disapprove 50% ▼2 Approve Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-18 338Canada.com
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Ipsos Government approval tracker 50% 50%2025-04-18 52% 48%2025-04-09 48% 50%2025-03-25 43% 57%2023-09-17 42% 58%2022-09-20 46% 52%2021-09-17 45% 54%2021-09-05 46% 54%2021-08-29 45% 55%2021-08-22 51% 49%2021-08-15 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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