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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 21, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (April 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 37% to 39% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼1 LPC 39% ▲2 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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190 LPC 124 CPC 23 BQ 5 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 41 23 12 2 ON 85 36 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 29 7 1 BC 22 20 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll April 21, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 45% ▼4 LPC 38% ▲5 CPC 8% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼1 LPC 24% ▼1 CPC 24% BQ 8% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▼2 LPC 40% ▲4 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% ▼3 CPC 37% ▲1 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 61% ▲2 CPC 32% ▲2 LPC 4% ▼3 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲1 LPC 41% ▲3 CPC 12% ▼3 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▼1 LPC 39% ▲2 CPC 8% NDP 6% ▲6 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲3 CPC 40% LPC 9% ▼2 NDP 4% BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▲2 CPC 39% ▼3 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 8% NDP 7% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 46% LPC 36% ▲3 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-21 338Canada.com
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