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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 20, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,000 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 40%, the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 40% LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 11% NDP 7% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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182 LPC 116 CPC 31 BQ 11 NDP 3 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 34 31 12 1 ON 75 43 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 12 2 AB 24 11 2 BC 28 12 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll April 20, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▲4 LPC 34% ▼4 CPC 10% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▼6 LPC 30% ▼2 BQ 26% ▲7 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▼2 LPC 40% CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 41% ▲4 CPC 35% LPC 17% ▼6 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▼8 CPC 31% ▲10 LPC 10% ▼4 NDP 3% ▲3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲6 LPC 33% ▼6 CPC 15% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲3 PPC 4% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▲3 LPC 34% ▼5 CPC 14% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲4 CPC 40% ▼1 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼4 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 43% ▼4 LPC 35% ▲4 CPC 13% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼3 BQ 2% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 39% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 15% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 38% ▲4 LPC 38% ▼5 CPC 9% ▼3 NDP 8% BQ 5% ▲4 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 41% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 8% ▼2 BQ 8% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-20 338Canada.com
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