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About this Ipsos federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Ipsos in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 9, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Ipsos (April 2025), the Liberal Party loses four points from 46% to 42%, the Conservative Party climbs two points from 34% to 36% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▼4 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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201 LPC 108 CPC 25 BQ 8 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 7 3 QC 40 25 12 1 ON 81 37 3 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 23 12 2 BC 29 14 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Ipsos federal poll April 9, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Ipsos




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼4 LPC 33% CPC 11% ▲8 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Quebec 35% ▼7 LPC 25% ▼1 BQ 24% CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼4 LPC 37% ▲6 CPC 12% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲10 CPC 37% ▼2 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼8 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▼1 CPC 32% ▼8 LPC 16% ▲9 NDP Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 46% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 11% ▲4 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼5 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 44% ▼5 LPC 31% ▲1 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲2 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲5 CPC 41% ▼3 LPC 8% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 1% ▼2 GPC 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% ▲9 CPC 33% ▼14 LPC 20% ▲7 NDP 4% GPC 1% ▼3 BQ 1% PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 40% ▼1 LPC 36% ▲2 CPC 11% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 51% LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲3 BQ 5% NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Government approval 52% ▲4 Approve 48% ▼2 Disapprove Ipsos federal poll | 2025-04-09 338Canada.com
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Ipsos Government approval tracker 52% 48%2025-04-09 48% 50%2025-03-25 43% 57%2023-09-17 42% 58%2022-09-20 46% 52%2021-09-17 45% 54%2021-09-05 46% 54%2021-08-29 45% 55%2021-08-22 51% 49%2021-08-15 50% 50%2021-07-20 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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