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About this Pollara federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pollara in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 17, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,195 Canadian respondents using an hybrid method (online/telephone).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pollara (April 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 44%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 36%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% LPC 36% CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲2 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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197 LPC 114 CPC 25 BQ 6 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 40 25 12 1 ON 89 32 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 23 12 2 BC 23 19 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pollara federal poll April 17, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pollara




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 50% ▼4 LPC 39% ▲8 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▼3 LPC 28% ▲3 BQ 22% ▼3 CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Ontario 53% ▲3 LPC 35% CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▲7 CPC 32% ▼3 LPC 10% ▼4 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▲2 CPC 32% LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▲3 LPC 40% ▼2 CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▼1 LPC 31% ▲1 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▼2 CPC 40% ▲2 LPC 8% ▲3 BQ 6% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲4 LPC 36% ▼4 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲3 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▲4 CPC 36% ▼6 LPC 12% ▲3 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 46% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲3 BQ 4% ▼6 NDP 4% ▲3 GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 51% ▲2 LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲1 BQ 4% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-04-17 338Canada.com
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