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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,455 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.6%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (April 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 35%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼1 LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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183 LPC 119 CPC 24 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 40 24 12 2 ON 77 40 4 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 12 2 AB 23 12 2 BC 24 14 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll April 12, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% LPC 27% ▲3 CPC 10% ▼8 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼1 LPC 27% ▲1 BQ 18% ▼1 CPC 10% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% LPC 38% CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▼1 CPC 36% ▼1 LPC 12% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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Alberta 53% ▲2 CPC 32% ▲3 LPC 11% ▼3 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▲2 CPC 36% ▼5 LPC 18% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-12 338Canada.com
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