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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 5, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,341 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs four points from 37% to 41%, the Conservative Party loses three points from 38% to 35%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▲4 LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 12% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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191 LPC 114 CPC 24 BQ 13 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 41 24 12 1 ON 77 40 4 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 12 2 AB 24 11 2 BC 22 19 2 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll April 5, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▲6 LPC 24% ▼14 CPC 18% ▲7 NDP 2% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 40% ▲4 LPC 26% ▼2 BQ 19% ▼1 CPC 7% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▲3 LPC 38% ▼3 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▲7 CPC 37% ▲4 LPC 14% ▼8 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▼14 CPC 29% ▲11 LPC 14% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▲3 LPC 38% ▼2 CPC 16% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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