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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 11, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (April 2025), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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206 LPC 109 CPC 20 BQ 7 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 7 3 QC 43 20 13 2 ON 81 37 3 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 25 11 1 BC 31 12 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll April 11, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% ▲4 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 2% ▼4 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▼1 LPC 24% ▼3 CPC 24% ▲3 BQ 6% NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% ▼4 CPC 39% ▲3 LPC 9% ▲3 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▼4 CPC 30% ▼6 LPC 7% ▲4 NDP 5% ▲5 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 49% ▲3 LPC 38% ▼2 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▼1 LPC 39% ▼2 CPC 6% BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▼3 CPC 41% LPC 7% NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 45% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼3 CPC 5% BQ 5% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 47% LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 48% ▼1 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 9% NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲2 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-11 338Canada.com
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