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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,900 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (April 2025), the Liberal Party climbs three points from 39% to 42%, the Conservative Party loses three points from 39% to 36%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼3 CPC 11% NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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192 LPC 121 CPC 16 BQ 13 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 49 16 12 1 ON 81 37 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 30 5 2 BC 24 16 3 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll April 6, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 63% ▲12 LPC 26% ▼6 CPC 6% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼2 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% ▲6 LPC 23% ▼3 CPC 22% ▼3 BQ 6% NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 2% ▼3 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼3 CPC 33% LPC 18% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Alberta 53% ▼5 CPC 24% ▼3 LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲7 PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▲2 CPC 34% ▼2 LPC 16% ▼3 NDP 6% ▲3 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼3 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲4 LPC 39% ▼2 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% ▲3 LPC 32% ▼5 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲5 PPC 4% ▼6 GPC 2% ▲1 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 41% ▲8 LPC 37% ▼5 CPC 14% NDP 3% ▼4 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 40% ▲2 LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 46% ▼1 LPC 34% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-06 338Canada.com
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