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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 2, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,800 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.3%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (March 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 39%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 39%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 39% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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171 LPC 133 CPC 24 BQ 14 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 40 24 13 1 ON 78 40 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 32 3 2 BC 22 17 4 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll April 2, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▼4 LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% ▼1 LPC 26% ▲4 CPC 25% ▲1 BQ 6% ▼3 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Ontario 45% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼2 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% ▼1 CPC 33% ▲5 LPC 16% ▼2 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Alberta 58% ▼1 CPC 27% ▲4 LPC 14% ▲3 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% ▼1 CPC 36% ▼2 LPC 19% ▲4 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% ▼2 LPC 36% ▲3 CPC 13% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▼4 CPC 39% ▲2 LPC 9% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 37% ▲4 CPC 36% ▼4 LPC 13% ▼2 NDP 10% ▲4 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼1 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 42% ▼1 CPC 33% ▼2 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲4 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 41% CPC 38% ▲3 LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 47% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 7% BQ 7% ▲1 NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-04-02 338Canada.com
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