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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 5, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,320 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (March 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 45%, the Conservative Party climbs two points from 36% to 38% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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196 LPC 121 CPC 19 BQ 6 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 7 3 QC 46 19 12 1 ON 83 37 1 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 31 5 1 BC 26 17 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll April 5, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▼2 LPC 33% ▲6 CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▲2 LPC 26% ▲2 BQ 24% ▲1 CPC 5% ▼2 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 50% ▼3 LPC 39% ▲5 CPC 7% NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▲5 CPC 30% ▲2 LPC 15% ▼5 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 60% ▼7 CPC 33% ▲11 LPC 6% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼5 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 13% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼3 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 51% ▲2 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 9% NDP 5% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲3 CPC 38% ▼2 LPC 7% ▲1 BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▲11 CPC 36% ▼3 LPC 12% ▼2 NDP 4% ▼2 BQ 1% ▼3 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 48% LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 7% ▲3 BQ 4% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 54% ▲1 LPC 21% ▼14 CPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 2% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-04-05 338Canada.com
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