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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 31, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,267 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs three points from 42% to 45%, the Conservative Party loses two points from 38% to 36% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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207 LPC 114 CPC 18 BQ 4 NDP 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 46 18 13 1 ON 92 30 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 37 BC 30 13 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll March 31, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 57% ▲9 LPC 27% ▼3 CPC 14% ▼2 NDP 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 24% ▼6 BQ 23% ▲3 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Ontario 53% ▲5 LPC 34% ▼6 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 3% PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▲5 CPC 28% ▼7 LPC 20% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲4 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Alberta 67% ▲1 CPC 22% ▼7 LPC 5% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲2 PPC 1% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 48% ▲6 LPC 35% ▼4 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 7% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 49% ▲8 LPC 31% ▼2 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲3 CPC 40% ▲1 LPC 8% ▲3 NDP 6% ▼3 BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▲5 LPC 33% ▼4 CPC 14% ▲2 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 39% ▲7 LPC 39% ▼5 CPC 9% ▲1 BQ 9% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲3 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 48% ▲4 LPC 36% CPC 4% ▼2 BQ 4% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 53% ▲3 LPC 35% ▲9 CPC 6% BQ 6% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2025-03-31 338Canada.com
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