logo
Canada

About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,742 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.3%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (March 2025), the Conservative Party climbs four points from 34% to 38%, the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▲4 CPC 37% ▲1 LPC 12% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

167 LPC 140 CPC 25 BQ 10 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 40 25 12 1 ON 74 44 3 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 12 2 AB 36 1 BC 23 19 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll March 29, 2025 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 48% ▲2 LPC 38% ▲4 CPC 11% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 36% ▲3 LPC 28% ▼4 BQ 20% CPC 10% ▲4 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 41% LPC 41% ▲4 CPC 11% ▼4 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 39% ▼6 CPC 33% ▲3 LPC 22% ▲6 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 65% ▲17 CPC 18% ▼13 LPC 13% NDP 2% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 40% ▲5 CPC 38% ▲7 LPC 16% ▼2 NDP 4% ▼9 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!







Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#766