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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in April 2025, with a middle field date of April 1, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party loses two points from 39% to 37% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 6%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲1 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 6% NDP 5% BQ 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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214 LPC 109 CPC 15 BQ 4 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 49 15 13 1 ON 83 38 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 12 2 AB 25 11 1 BC 29 14 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll April 1, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 60% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 4% NDP 3% ▼1 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% LPC 25% ▼2 CPC 22% ▲1 BQ 4% NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼1 CPC 37% ▲2 LPC 10% ▲1 NDP 4% PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Alberta 54% ▲3 CPC 35% ▼2 LPC 5% NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▲6 LPC 36% ▼6 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 6% NDP 5% ▲1 BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% LPC 40% ▼2 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% CPC 41% ▲1 LPC 7% NDP 4% BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 43% ▲1 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 50% ▲3 LPC 33% ▼4 CPC 6% BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲1 PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 49% ▲1 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 6% NDP 4% BQ 4% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-04-01 338Canada.com
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