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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=3,002 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±1.8%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (March 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 44%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 38%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% LPC 38% CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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206 LPC 120 CPC 15 BQ 2 NDP 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 6 4 QC 50 15 12 1 ON 85 37 MB 8 6 SK 13 1 AB 31 5 1 BC 28 15 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll March 29, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▼19 LPC 33% ▲11 CPC 9% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Quebec 43% ▲2 LPC 23% CPC 23% BQ 5% NDP 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% ▼2 CPC 36% ▲6 LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▼1 CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼1 PPC 2% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 48% ▲3 LPC 38% ▼2 CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▲1 LPC 33% CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲1 CPC 41% ▼1 LPC 5% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 40% ▲1 CPC 37% LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 4% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 42% CPC 39% ▲1 LPC 8% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 52% LPC 34% CPC 4% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-29 338Canada.com
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