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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 22, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,599 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 42% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 9% to 6%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲2 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 6% ▼3 NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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201 LPC 121 CPC 18 BQ 2 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 46 18 13 1 ON 82 39 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 31 5 1 BC 25 18 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll March 22, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 70% ▲19 LPC 22% ▼10 CPC 6% ▼4 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲1 LPC 23% CPC 23% ▼1 BQ 5% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲4 LPC 40% ▼2 CPC 6% ▼3 NDP 3% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% ▲2 CPC 30% ▼10 LPC 10% ▲5 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▲1 CPC 29% ▼2 LPC 8% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 2% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▼1 LPC 40% ▲3 CPC 7% ▼6 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼3 NDP 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Male voters 42% ▲2 LPC 42% ▼1 CPC 5% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▲1 CPC 37% LPC 11% NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 42% ▼1 CPC 38% ▼11 LPC 6% ▼4 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 52% ▲10 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 4% ▼2 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-03-22 338Canada.com
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