logo
Canada

About this Pollara federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pollara in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 28, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,734 Canadian respondents using an hybrid method (online/telephone).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pollara (February 2025), the Liberal Party climbs 12 points from 32% to 44%, the Conservative Party loses seven points from 42% to 35%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲12 LPC 35% ▼7 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

207 LPC 114 CPC 15 BQ 6 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 51 15 11 1 ON 82 36 3 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 31 5 1 BC 27 16 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pollara federal poll March 28, 2025 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pollara




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲16 LPC 32% ▼5 CPC 8% ▼8 NDP 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 45% ▲13 LPC 24% ▼11 BQ 22% ▼2 CPC 6% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 47% ▲9 LPC 35% ▼8 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼15 CPC 36% ▲17 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼4 GPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 56% ▼3 CPC 30% ▲8 LPC 7% ▼5 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 4% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 45% ▲18 LPC 37% ▼8 CPC 12% ▼9 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% LPC 29% CPC 13% NDP 5% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Male voters 42% CPC 39% LPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% LPC 34% CPC 18% NDP 5% GPC 3% PPC 2% BQ Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
35-49 years old 39% LPC 39% CPC 9% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

50-64 years old 45% LPC 36% CPC 7% BQ 7% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
65+ years old 54% LPC 32% CPC 8% NDP 5% BQ 1% GPC 1% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-03-28 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!







Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#761