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About this Pollara federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pollara in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 19, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,506 Canadian respondents using an hybrid method (online/telephone).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pollara (June 2023), the Conservative Party climbs ten points from 32% to 42%, the Liberal Party climbs two points from 30% to 32% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party loses ten points from 21% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 42% ▲10 CPC 32% ▲2 LPC 11% ▼10 NDP 8% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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171 CPC 125 LPC 35 BQ 10 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 35 32 10 1 ON 61 58 2 1 MB 9 4 1 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 29 9 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pollara federal poll February 19, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pollara




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▲3 LPC 37% ▲5 CPC 16% ▼6 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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Quebec 35% BQ 32% ▲2 LPC 24% ▲9 CPC 6% ▼6 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▲10 CPC 38% ▲3 LPC 11% ▼12 NDP 5% GPC 3% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 61% ▲16 CPC 19% ▼4 LPC 12% ▼13 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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Alberta 59% ▲7 CPC 22% ▲5 LPC 12% ▼13 NDP 4% ▲1 PPC 2% ▼1 GPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲12 CPC 27% LPC 21% ▼6 NDP 5% ▼4 GPC 2% PPC Pollara federal poll | 2025-02-19 338Canada.com
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