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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 25, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 42% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois remains stable at 6%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼1 CPC 6% BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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206 LPC 111 CPC 24 BQ 2 NDP 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 40 24 13 1 ON 84 38 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 25 11 1 BC 29 14 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 25, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 60% ▲1 LPC 28% ▼1 CPC 6% NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 38% ▲1 LPC 27% ▲1 BQ 26% CPC 5% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲3 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% ▼1 CPC 33% ▲1 LPC 8% NDP 4% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 52% ▼1 CPC 35% ▲1 LPC 6% NDP 4% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▲3 LPC 37% CPC 7% ▼3 NDP 5% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▲2 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 7% BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲2 LPC 40% ▼1 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 4% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲1 LPC 41% ▼1 CPC 5% BQ 5% ▼1 NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 40% ▲3 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 4% PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 46% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 8% ▲1 BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 49% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 6% NDP 3% BQ 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-25 338Canada.com
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