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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 20, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 38%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 36%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% LPC 36% CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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185 LPC 120 CPC 27 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 37 27 13 1 ON 78 40 3 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 13 1 AB 23 12 2 BC 21 20 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 20, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 54% ▼1 LPC 25% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▲1 LPC 28% ▼2 BQ 24% CPC 7% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▼1 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 11% ▼1 NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 54% ▲3 CPC 25% ▼5 LPC 12% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Alberta 46% ▼3 CPC 31% ▲6 LPC 12% ▼3 NDP 5% GPC 4% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▼3 CPC 38% ▲1 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 4% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% LPC 33% ▲1 CPC 13% NDP 7% BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Male voters 39% ▲1 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▼2 CPC 39% ▲4 LPC 8% ▼2 NDP 5% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 34% ▲1 CPC 33% LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 10% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 39% ▼1 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 12% NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 4% GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 43% ▼2 LPC 37% ▲3 CPC 10% NDP 3% ▼1 BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-20 338Canada.com
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