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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 19, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (March 2025), the Liberal Party loses two points from 40% to 38% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 36%, and the New Democratic Party climbs two points from 9% to 11% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▼2 LPC 36% CPC 11% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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181 LPC 125 CPC 28 BQ 8 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 36 28 13 1 ON 79 39 3 1 MB 7 7 SK 13 1 AB 29 6 2 BC 23 19 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll March 19, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▲1 LPC 24% ▼2 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Quebec 32% ▼4 LPC 30% ▲4 BQ 24% ▼3 CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▼2 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% ▲3 CPC 30% ▼5 LPC 12% ▲2 NDP 3% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Alberta 49% ▼2 CPC 25% ▲3 LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼2 GPC 4% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼1 CPC 37% ▼2 LPC 12% ▲4 NDP 4% PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▼3 LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 7% BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▼1 CPC 38% ▼2 LPC 9% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲1 CPC 35% ▼3 LPC 10% ▲2 NDP 5% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 33% LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 10% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 40% ▼3 LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 12% ▲2 NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 4% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 45% ▼3 LPC 34% CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
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