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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 19, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (March 2025), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 34% to 36% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 15% to 12%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Canada 39% CPC 36% LPC 12% NDP 6% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% LPC 33% CPC 10% NDP 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
Quebec 37% LPC 28% BQ 18% CPC 7% GPC 7% NDP 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
Ontario 42% CPC 40% LPC 11% NDP 3% PPC 3% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% CPC 29% LPC 15% NDP 4% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
Alberta 57% CPC 20% LPC 19% NDP 3% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
British Columbia 43% CPC 32% LPC 18% NDP 4% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% LPC 35% CPC 16% NDP 5% BQ 5% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
Male voters 42% CPC 36% LPC 9% NDP 8% BQ 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 39% CPC 38% LPC 10% NDP 9% GPC 2% PPC 2% BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 38% CPC 32% LPC 17% NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 41% CPC 33% LPC 13% NDP 8% BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com
60+ years old 41% LPC 36% CPC 10% NDP 9% BQ 3% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-03-19 338Canada.com



P#737