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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in March 2025, with a middle field date of March 7, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,695 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (February 2025), the Conservative Party climbs three points from 38% to 41%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 31%, and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 16% to 14% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▲3 CPC 31% LPC 14% ▼2 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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187 CPC 114 LPC 29 BQ 11 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 6 5 NB 6 4 QC 36 29 12 1 ON 74 44 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 30 9 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll March 7, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▲1 CPC 41% ▲6 LPC 10% ▼4 NDP 4% ▼3 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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Quebec 34% ▲3 LPC 28% BQ 21% ▲2 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▲2 CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 15% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 43% ▲3 CPC 30% ▼8 LPC 19% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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Alberta 62% ▲12 CPC 19% ▼2 LPC 14% ▼5 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲2 CPC 27% LPC 19% ▼2 NDP 6% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-03-07 338Canada.com
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