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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 27, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,488 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (February 2025), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 16%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 38% ▼1 CPC 31% ▲1 LPC 16% NDP 6% BQ 5% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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179 CPC 121 LPC 29 BQ 12 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 36 29 12 1 ON 68 50 3 1 MB 8 5 1 SK 12 2 AB 32 3 2 BC 28 10 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll February 27, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 41% ▲4 CPC 35% ▼11 LPC 14% ▲3 NDP 7% ▲4 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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Quebec 31% LPC 28% ▲2 BQ 19% ▼7 CPC 12% ▲3 NDP 5% ▼2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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Ontario 42% CPC 34% LPC 16% NDP 6% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 40% ▼5 CPC 38% ▲10 LPC 18% ▼2 NDP 3% ▼4 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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Alberta 50% ▼5 CPC 21% ▲2 LPC 19% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▲4 CPC 27% ▲6 LPC 21% ▼6 NDP 6% ▼5 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-27 338Canada.com
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