logo
Canada

About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 23, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,500 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (February 2025), the Conservative Party loses five points from 46% to 41%, the Liberal Party climbs two points from 27% to 29% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▼5 CPC 29% ▲2 LPC 14% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

194 CPC 107 LPC 28 BQ 12 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 3 1 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 36 28 13 1 ON 79 40 2 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 24 13 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll February 23, 2025 🍁
✓ Copied!
Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▲2 CPC 37% ▼4 LPC 14% ▼2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Quebec 34% ▲6 LPC 27% ▼7 BQ 24% ▼5 CPC 8% ▲3 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Ontario 45% ▼1 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 14% ▼1 NDP 4% GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 56% CPC 25% ▲10 NDP 16% ▼10 LPC 2% ▲2 PPC 1% ▲1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Alberta 58% ▼16 CPC 17% ▲8 LPC 17% ▲3 NDP 8% ▲6 PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
British Columbia 40% ▼3 CPC 27% ▲7 LPC 20% ▼5 NDP 11% ▲3 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 17% NDP 5% ▼2 BQ 5% GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Male voters 44% ▼8 CPC 29% ▲5 LPC 12% NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 4% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 35% ▼2 CPC 27% ▲3 LPC 21% ▼3 NDP 8% ▲2 GPC 5% ▲1 PPC 3% ▼2 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
30-44 years old 48% ▼1 CPC 27% ▲5 LPC 13% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 4% ▼3 BQ 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!

45-59 years old 42% ▼6 CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 9% ▲5 BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 3% ▼3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
60+ years old 40% ▼7 CPC 32% ▲1 LPC 13% ▲2 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 5% ▲4 PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!



Government approval 56% Disapprove 28% ▲1 Approve 16% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-02-23 338Canada.com
✓ Copied!
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 28% 56%2025-02-23 27% 56%2025-02-08 21% 63%2025-01-07 22% 62%2024-12-17 24% 61%2024-12-02 25% 61%2024-11-17 25% 62%2024-11-03 24% 61%2024-10-20 26% 59%2024-10-07 25% 59%2024-09-22 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
✓ Copied!




Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#710