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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 16, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,550 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (February 2025), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 31% to 33% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 14% to 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▲1 CPC 33% ▲2 LPC 11% ▼3 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼3 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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160 CPC 144 LPC 28 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 10 1 NB 8 2 QC 36 28 13 1 ON 61 58 2 1 MB 9 5 SK 13 1 AB 37 BC 24 13 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll February 16, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 52% ▲3 LPC 23% ▼8 CPC 17% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Quebec 34% ▲1 LPC 28% ▼1 BQ 26% ▲4 CPC 7% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▼1 CPC 38% ▲6 LPC 10% ▼4 NDP 5% ▼2 GPC 3% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 58% ▲8 CPC 25% ▲6 LPC 10% ▼5 NDP 3% ▼5 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Alberta 69% ▲10 CPC 17% ▲1 LPC 10% ▼8 NDP 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 40% ▼2 CPC 29% ▼5 LPC 19% ▲3 NDP 7% GPC 5% ▲5 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 36% ▲2 CPC 35% ▲2 LPC 13% ▼4 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Male voters 47% ▲2 CPC 32% ▲4 LPC 10% NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲6 CPC 28% ▲1 LPC 15% ▼4 NDP 5% ▲1 PPC 3% ▼4 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 47% ▲2 CPC 28% ▲6 LPC 13% ▼5 NDP 3% ▼4 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 41% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 8% NDP 4% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-16 338Canada.com
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