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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 9, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,590 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (January 2025), the Conservative Party loses three points from 43% to 40%, the Liberal Party climbs six points from 25% to 31%, and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 16% to 14% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼3 CPC 31% ▲6 LPC 14% ▼2 NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 6% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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175 CPC 128 LPC 29 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 36 29 12 1 ON 77 41 3 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 23 18 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll February 9, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 49% ▲7 LPC 31% ▲2 CPC 15% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼7 GPC 1% ▼5 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▲11 LPC 29% ▼8 BQ 22% ▼3 CPC 10% NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▼3 CPC 32% ▲5 LPC 14% ▼3 NDP 7% ▲2 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼10 CPC 19% ▲3 LPC 15% ▼2 NDP 8% ▲3 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Alberta 59% ▼3 CPC 18% ▲1 NDP 16% ▼1 LPC 3% GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▼1 CPC 34% ▲6 LPC 16% ▼7 NDP 7% ▲2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 34% ▼3 CPC 33% ▲5 LPC 17% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Male voters 45% ▼4 CPC 28% ▲5 LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▼5 CPC 27% ▲5 LPC 19% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 45% ▼4 CPC 22% ▲1 LPC 18% ▲2 NDP 7% ▲3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 39% ▲9 LPC 38% ▼1 CPC 8% ▼5 NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-02-09 338Canada.com
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