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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,015 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (February 2025), the Conservative Party remains stable at 40%, the Liberal Party remains stable at 27%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 16%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% CPC 27% LPC 16% NDP 9% ▲2 BQ 4% ▼2 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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197 CPC 84 LPC 43 BQ 17 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 6 5 NB 6 4 QC 43 25 9 1 ON 91 27 3 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 13 1 AB 34 2 1 BC 25 9 8 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll February 15, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▲7 LPC 40% ▲3 CPC 15% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼4 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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Quebec 38% ▲6 BQ 30% LPC 21% ▼2 CPC 5% ▼2 NDP 4% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▲3 CPC 29% ▼3 LPC 16% NDP 4% ▼3 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼1 CPC 20% ▼4 LPC 20% ▲5 NDP 5% GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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Alberta 54% ▼5 CPC 21% ▼1 NDP 15% ▲4 LPC 4% ▲1 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▼1 CPC 29% ▲4 NDP 25% ▲6 LPC 4% ▼6 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-15 338Canada.com
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