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About this Innovative Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Innovative Research in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,795 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.3%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Innovative Research (December 2024), the Conservative Party loses three points from 43% to 40%, the Liberal Party climbs five points from 22% to 27%, and the New Democratic Party loses three points from 19% to 16%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼3 CPC 27% ▲5 LPC 16% ▼3 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 6% ▲2 GPC 3% PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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197 CPC 96 LPC 33 BQ 15 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 7 4 NB 6 4 QC 33 32 12 1 ON 76 42 3 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 13 1 AB 35 2 BC 32 6 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Innovative Research federal poll February 6, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Innovative Research




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 37% ▲37 CPC 35% ▲35 LPC 16% ▲16 NDP 7% ▲7 GPC 5% ▲5 PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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Quebec 32% ▲32 BQ 30% ▲30 LPC 23% ▲23 CPC 7% ▲7 NDP 4% ▲4 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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Ontario 43% ▲43 CPC 32% ▲32 LPC 16% ▲16 NDP 7% ▲7 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 51% ▲51 CPC 24% ▲24 LPC 15% ▲15 NDP 5% ▲5 GPC 5% ▲5 PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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Alberta 59% ▲59 CPC 22% ▲22 NDP 11% ▲11 LPC 5% ▲5 PPC 3% ▲3 GPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲42 CPC 25% ▲25 NDP 19% ▲19 LPC 10% ▲10 GPC 3% ▲3 PPC Innovative Research federal poll | 2025-02-06 338Canada.com
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