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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 25, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,527 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (January 2025), the Conservative Party loses four points from 47% to 43%, the Liberal Party climbs four points from 21% to 25%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼4 CPC 25% ▲4 LPC 16% ▼1 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 4% GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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201 CPC 78 LPC 45 BQ 17 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 8 3 NB 6 4 QC 45 20 11 2 ON 93 22 6 1 MB 12 1 1 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 27 9 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll January 25, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 42% ▲24 LPC 29% ▼24 CPC 12% ▼9 NDP 11% ▲5 GPC 6% ▲6 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▲4 BQ 25% ▼2 CPC 22% ▲3 LPC 10% ▼2 NDP 2% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼3 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Ontario 47% ▼1 CPC 27% ▲2 LPC 17% ▼2 NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 60% ▲15 CPC 17% ▼6 NDP 16% ▼9 LPC 5% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Alberta 62% ▼7 CPC 17% ▲3 LPC 17% ▲2 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 43% ▼13 CPC 28% ▲10 LPC 23% ▲2 NDP 5% ▲3 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 37% ▼8 CPC 28% ▲8 LPC 19% ▼1 NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 12% ▼3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▼2 CPC 22% ▲3 LPC 21% ▼2 NDP 6% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 49% ▼3 CPC 21% ▲5 LPC 16% ▼1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 39% ▼5 CPC 30% ▲4 LPC 13% ▼1 NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-25 338Canada.com
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