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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 12, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,545 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (December 2024), the Conservative Party climbs four points from 43% to 47%, the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party loses two points from 19% to 17% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 47% ▲4 CPC 21% ▲1 LPC 17% ▼2 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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239 CPC 41 BQ 38 LPC 24 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 9 1 QC 41 17 16 4 ON 97 15 9 1 MB 6 5 3 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 40 3 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll January 12, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▲10 CPC 21% ▼1 NDP 18% ▼12 LPC 6% ▲2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▼6 BQ 27% ▲1 CPC 19% ▼1 LPC 12% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▼3 CPC 25% ▲4 LPC 19% NDP 5% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▼5 CPC 25% ▲3 LPC 23% ▲4 NDP 4% GPC 2% ▼3 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Alberta 69% ▲14 CPC 15% ▼12 NDP 14% ▲4 LPC 1% ▼4 GPC 1% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 56% ▲15 CPC 21% ▼4 NDP 18% ▼2 LPC 3% ▼2 PPC 2% ▼5 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 45% ▲6 CPC 20% ▼4 LPC 20% ▼2 NDP 5% GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▲1 CPC 22% ▲6 LPC 15% ▼1 NDP 3% ▼2 GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▲7 CPC 23% ▼7 NDP 19% ▲1 LPC 6% ▼2 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 52% ▲7 CPC 17% ▼1 NDP 16% ▼1 LPC 4% PPC 3% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 44% ▼2 CPC 26% ▲3 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2025-01-12 338Canada.com
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