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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 24, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,205 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (January 2025), the Conservative Party loses three points from 46% to 43%, the Liberal Party climbs two points from 20% to 22% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 19%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▼3 CPC 22% ▲2 LPC 19% NDP 8% BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% ▼6 CPC 27% ▲4 LPC 21% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲4 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% ▲3 BQ 25% ▲1 CPC 23% ▲3 LPC 8% ▼5 NDP 5% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Ontario 45% ▼5 CPC 27% ▲4 LPC 17% ▼1 NDP 6% ▲2 GPC 4% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% ▼5 CPC 32% ▲7 NDP 12% ▼3 LPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Alberta 63% CPC 20% NDP 13% ▲2 LPC 3% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
British Columbia 42% ▼8 CPC 28% NDP 19% ▲3 LPC 7% ▲2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% ▼5 CPC 24% ▲1 LPC 20% ▼3 NDP 9% ▲3 BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% ▼6 CPC 21% ▲4 LPC 16% NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 35% ▼8 CPC 26% ▲5 LPC 22% NDP 7% ▲3 BQ 6% GPC 3% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 44% ▼2 CPC 21% LPC 18% ▼3 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 7% ▲3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% ▼5 CPC 21% ▲6 LPC 17% ▼5 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC 4% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
60+ years old 45% ▼2 CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 16% ▲3 NDP 11% BQ 2% PPC 2% ▼2 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com


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