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Canada

About this poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 24, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,205 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (January 2025), the Conservative Party loses three points from 46% to 43%, the Liberal Party climbs two points from 20% to 22% (variation similar to moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 19%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Return to the list of federal polls here.
Canada 43% CPC 22% LPC 19% NDP 8% BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% CPC 27% LPC 21% NDP 6% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Quebec 38% BQ 25% CPC 23% LPC 8% NDP 5% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Ontario 45% CPC 27% LPC 17% NDP 6% GPC 4% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% CPC 32% NDP 12% LPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Alberta 63% CPC 20% NDP 13% LPC 3% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
British Columbia 42% CPC 28% NDP 19% LPC 7% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% CPC 24% LPC 20% NDP 9% BQ 5% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% CPC 21% LPC 16% NDP 8% BQ 5% GPC 4% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 35% CPC 26% LPC 22% NDP 7% BQ 6% GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 44% CPC 21% LPC 18% NDP 7% BQ 7% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% CPC 21% LPC 17% NDP 8% BQ 5% GPC 4% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com
60+ years old 45% CPC 23% LPC 16% NDP 11% BQ 2% PPC 2% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-01-24 338Canada.com

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