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About this EKOS federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by EKOS in January 2025, with a middle field date of January 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,036 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from EKOS (January 2025), the Conservative Party loses three points from 42% to 39% (variation similar to moe), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 26% to 28% (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 39% ▼3 CPC 28% ▲2 LPC 17% NDP 7% ▲3 BQ 5% ▲3 GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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164 CPC 118 LPC 40 BQ 19 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 3 1 NS 6 5 NB 6 4 QC 40 20 14 4 ON 72 45 4 1 MB 11 2 1 SK 14 AB 36 1 BC 28 7 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on EKOS federal poll January 15, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from EKOS




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 39% ▼4 LPC 38% ▲14 CPC 15% ▼7 NDP 8% ▲2 GPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Quebec 33% ▲2 BQ 25% ▼2 CPC 22% ▲2 LPC 15% ▲3 NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Ontario 39% ▲8 LPC 37% ▼8 CPC 16% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 3% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 56% ▼7 CPC 19% ▲3 NDP 15% ▼3 LPC 4% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲4 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Alberta 65% ▲2 CPC 20% ▲3 NDP 10% ▼2 LPC 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼3 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 39% ▲2 CPC 25% ▲4 NDP 23% ▼5 LPC 9% ▲1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 36% ▲7 LPC 30% ▼4 CPC 21% NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 5% GPC 2% ▲1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Male voters 49% ▼1 CPC 21% ▼1 LPC 14% ▲2 NDP 9% ▲3 BQ 4% GPC 3% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 32% ▼13 CPC 24% ▲7 LPC 23% ▼4 NDP 11% ▲8 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC 5% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 47% ▲4 CPC 20% ▲3 NDP 18% ▼7 LPC 6% ▲2 GPC 5% ▼1 BQ 2% PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 42% ▼1 CPC 31% ▲3 LPC 15% ▲4 NDP 8% ▼1 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 41% ▲8 LPC 34% ▼2 CPC 12% NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 4% ▼3 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC EKOS federal poll | 2025-01-15 338Canada.com
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