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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in December 2024, with a middle field date of December 21, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,521 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (November 2024), the Conservative Party remains stable at 43%, the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 19%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 43% CPC 20% ▼1 LPC 19% NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 5% GPC 3% ▲1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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234 CPC 48 BQ 35 LPC 24 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 NS 8 2 1 NB 7 3 QC 48 14 14 2 ON 108 7 6 1 MB 8 4 2 SK 13 1 AB 34 3 BC 32 6 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll December 21, 2024 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 43% ▼9 CPC 30% ▲11 LPC 22% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▲4 BQ 26% ▲3 CPC 20% ▼2 LPC 9% ▼5 NDP 4% ▲3 PPC 3% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 51% ▲3 CPC 21% ▼4 LPC 19% ▲1 NDP 6% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 50% ▼5 CPC 22% LPC 19% ▲2 NDP 5% ▲2 PPC 4% GPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 55% ▼6 CPC 27% ▲8 NDP 10% ▼5 LPC 5% ▲3 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 41% ▲2 CPC 25% ▼6 NDP 20% ▲2 LPC 7% ▼2 GPC 5% ▲3 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 39% CPC 24% ▲1 LPC 22% NDP 5% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 48% ▲1 CPC 16% ▼4 LPC 16% NDP 5% ▲1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 37% ▼6 CPC 30% ▲5 NDP 18% ▼2 LPC 8% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 45% ▼4 CPC 18% ▲1 NDP 17% ▼8 LPC 5% ▼1 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 46% ▲7 CPC 23% ▲1 LPC 12% ▼4 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Government satisfaction 72% ▲3 Dissatisfied 23% ▼3 Satisfied 5% Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2024-12-21 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 23% 72%2024-12-21 26% 69%2024-11-30 27% 68%2024-11-02 27% 65%2024-09-28 28% 65%2024-08-24 29% 66%2024-07-27 29% 65%2024-06-22 27% 66%2024-05-25 25% 69%2024-04-27 28% 66%2024-03-24 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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